Monday, August 18, 2008

Studying the battlefields...

From the view at 270 EV’s to the view on the ground, to understand strategy in this election is to see both the whole board and the pieces that will deliver the Obama victory. To that end I’ve compiled a collection of useful links that lay out the superiority of the Obama campaign’s actual strength across the battleground states. Afterall, the national polls don’t deliver victory, the battleground states do. In this respect, the key factors, usually largely ignored by the TV media are field offices to organise Get Out The Vote operations, voter registration, early voting and in-state ad buys. With this in mind, let’s consider the state of play, with an emphasis on the field game.

Lastly, if people have more information on the field offices, voter registration efforts, ad buys etc. in any of these states please drop me a line! Thanks.

Overall
Obama field office advantage
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/08/obama-leads-better-than-31-in-field.html

Resource advantage
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121902127288748417.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Obama’s early organising model
http://articles.latimes.com/2008/feb/09/nation/na-grassroots9

Operationalising the Obama field plan
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/25/AR2008072503118.html

Ohio
Early voting leads the way
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080813/D92H8JE06.html

Governor Strickland on Obama’s ground game
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-08-12-obama-ohio-strategy_N.htm

Virginia
The ground game
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/17/AR2008081702592.html?hpid=topnews

Michigan
Overwhelming force
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/obamas_michigan_campaign_will.php

Iowa
Field office strength
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080714/NEWS09/807140319

Missouri
Obama’s McCaskill model
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/obama_follows_the_mccaskill_mo.php

Obama field staff deployment
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/columnists.nsf/jomannies/story/4CA45212619DB2C786257482001030BD?OpenDocument

North Carolina
BHO game plan
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/17/us/politics/17carolina.html?_r=1&ref=politics&oref=slogin

Issues and ground game
http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/obamas_blueprint_for_n_c

New Mexico
Field office strength
http://newmexicoindependent.com/view/obama-opens-new

Georgia
Obama’s ambition
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1815194,00.html

Field office advantage
http://gpbnews.blogspot.com/2008/08/obama-spreads-campaign-efforts-in.html

3 scenarios for how Obama can carry Georgia
http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/restricted/2008/July%202008/7-7-08/Charles_Bullock7719642.php

Georgia & Indiana
Choosing the battlegrounds
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/06/tea-leaves.html

Montana
Ambinder’s impressed
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/when_was_the_last_time.php

Field office strength
http://www.greatfallstribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080803/NEWS01/808030301

Nevada
Voter registration
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/aug/05/betting-the-west-nevada/

Florida
Obama’s air-war

http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB121850408634131921-mVIL3HY351Gg3D4jRCJ_4uK9pSk_20080910.html?mod=tff_main_tff_top

Colorado

Colorado field office information is scarce, please share any information you might have on this key matter.

Field office strength
http://obamabarack.blogspot.com/2008/08/video-offices-open-in-colorado.html

1 comment:

Takin' it to the streets said...

This is a great compilation but don't forget that the national polls are the best barometer we have of whether or not the citizens like what the candidates are selling. Obama can have most organized field operations and early voter programs of all time and they will not be enough if those field staffers and volunteers cannot changes the perceptions of an an electorate whose perception of the race is shaped by the same media coverage that influences and reports on the national polls.