From the view at 270 EV’s to the view on the ground, to understand strategy in this election is to see both the whole board and the pieces that will deliver the Obama victory. To that end I’ve compiled a collection of useful links that lay out the superiority of the Obama campaign’s actual strength across the battleground states. Afterall, the national polls don’t deliver victory, the battleground states do. In this respect, the key factors, usually largely ignored by the TV media are field offices to organise Get Out The Vote operations, voter registration, early voting and in-state ad buys. With this in mind, let’s consider the state of play, with an emphasis on the field game.
Obama field office advantage
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/08/obama-leads-better-than-31-in-field.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121902127288748417.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
http://articles.latimes.com/2008/feb/09/nation/na-grassroots9
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/25/AR2008072503118.html
Early voting leads the way
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080813/D92H8JE06.html
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-08-12-obama-ohio-strategy_N.htm
The ground game
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/17/AR2008081702592.html?hpid=topnews
Overwhelming force
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/obamas_michigan_campaign_will.php
Field office strength
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080714/NEWS09/807140319
Obama’s McCaskill model
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/obama_follows_the_mccaskill_mo.php
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/columnists.nsf/jomannies/story/4CA45212619DB2C786257482001030BD?OpenDocument
BHO game plan
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/17/us/politics/17carolina.html?_r=1&ref=politics&oref=slogin
http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/obamas_blueprint_for_n_c
Field office strength
http://newmexicoindependent.com/view/obama-opens-new
Obama’s ambition
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1815194,00.html
http://gpbnews.blogspot.com/2008/08/obama-spreads-campaign-efforts-in.html
http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/restricted/2008/July%202008/7-7-08/Charles_Bullock7719642.php
Choosing the battlegrounds
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/06/tea-leaves.html
Ambinder’s impressed
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/07/when_was_the_last_time.php
http://www.greatfallstribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080803/NEWS01/808030301
Voter registration
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/aug/05/betting-the-west-nevada/
Obama’s air-war
http://obamabarack.blogspot.com/2008/08/video-offices-open-in-colorado.html
1 comment:
This is a great compilation but don't forget that the national polls are the best barometer we have of whether or not the citizens like what the candidates are selling. Obama can have most organized field operations and early voter programs of all time and they will not be enough if those field staffers and volunteers cannot changes the perceptions of an an electorate whose perception of the race is shaped by the same media coverage that influences and reports on the national polls.
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